China and Asian South East:further prospects

The impact of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area Framework Agreement on the world economic landscape has a very large impact on the integration of the entire global economy. After the signing of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area Framework Agreement in November 2002, before that, for the countries of Asia, the economic integration process of the entire region was slow. None of these countries in Asia The country signed a bilateral free trade agreement. After the signing of China and ASEAN, a new climax of regional economic integration emerged in Asia. ASEAN has used the impact of signing a free trade agreement with China. In fact, it has now signed bilateral free trade agreements with countries such as South Korea, Japan and India. After signing the agreement at the same time, Japan and the United States proposed that as long as the ASEAN countries agree to sign a free trade zone, they can sign. This is also the case. After China and ASEAN signed a free trade zone agreement, a new round of free trade zone economic integration has emerged in Asia. Looking at it now, China is also signing a series of bilateral free trade agreements with other countries, and then there are three “10+1” and “10+3”. With the acceleration of the process of economic integration in the entire Asian region, the future economic structure may be the one pole of the world economy dominated by the EU, the pole of the North American economic free trade zone, and finally formed with “10+3”. "Or three "10+1", or China, Japan and Korea form the economic pole of Asia or East Asia, and finally form the three-pole pattern of the world economy. The focus is on the overall and not just the opportunities of that country. The reason why the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area Framework Agreement has caused great concern to big countries and powerful economies is because the complementary trade between China and ASEAN will greatly enrich the bilateral domestic market. The ASEAN countries have high production costs and insufficient production capacity, which provides a broad market space for Chinese steel exports. At the same time, China's imports of crude oil, refined oil, plastic raw materials, natural rubber, iron ore and coal from ASEAN can effectively solve the dilemma of China's production raw materials shortage and energy gap. Therefore, it is generally believed that China is the biggest beneficiary of the long-term implementation of the agreement, but the development is always two-way, otherwise the agreement is not likely to be implemented for a long time. There are four countries with the fastest growth in trade with China: Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Brunei are mainly minerals and oil. In addition, Vietnam, Indonesia and Thailand are mainly agricultural trade, and Singapore and China have always been ASEAN trade. The largest country is also the most active advocate of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area Framework Agreement, and its benefits are undoubtedly great.

In South Asia, the conflict between India and Pakistan has been in existence for a long time. It has caused three wars between India and Pakistan. The India-Pakistan conflict is a comprehensive and long-term contradiction and dispute involving territory, ethnicity, religion and armament. The conflict between India and Pakistan directly poses an important hidden danger to China's surrounding security environment. In recent years, the nuclear arms and conventional arms races between the two countries have intensified, and the conflict in Kashmir has been slow, the security situation in India and Pakistan has affected the security situation in South Asia, and the western region of China. The safety is also a major relationship. With the development of the schedule economy, its 21st century military strategy is to develop a strong military force, threaten Pakistan, weaken small neighbors, contain China, block large countries from infiltrating into South Asia, and achieve the goal of controlling the Indian Ocean and becoming a world-class power. The Indian Ocean is China's gateway to the Middle East, the Persian Gulf, the Mediterranean Sea, East Africa and other places. India's control of the Indian Ocean is equivalent to China's maritime access to these areas, threatening China's oil security and economic lifeline. India’s status as a regional power is rising, its international influence is also strengthening, and Sino-Indian relations have also been greatly improved and developed. The economic and trade exchanges between the two sides have become increasingly close and the scale has been expanding, and both China and India have Committed to economic development, we all need a good surrounding environment. The common interests determine that the relationship between the two countries will maintain a certain degree of close relationship in the future. As a traditional friendly neighbor of our country, China has always maintained an extraordinary friendly and close relationship with Pakistan. With the deepening of cooperation between the two countries in the fields of economy, trade, military and science and technology, the relations between the two countries will be continuously strengthened. The relationship between China and South Asia will be in a relatively stable and friendly state for a long time to come.

Since the modern times, disputes over maritime rights between China and Southeast Asian countries have increased, and Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and other countries illegally occupy the islands of China's South China Sea, exploiting oil and gas resources, seriously damaging China's territorial sovereignty and economic rights, and increasingly no Conducive to the development of our country. The dispute between China and Southeast Asian countries in the South China Sea is not only an island dispute, but also a dispute over sea area demarcation and resource development. These issues are all about resources and geographical advantages disputes. Once these maritime rights are lost, they will endanger China’s homeland security. However, the situation is stable and controllable. The two sides are economically competitive and have common interests in politics. The relationship between the two parties will be further deepened and closely based on the past, whether it is the content of cooperation or the level of cooperation. , will all be on a new step.

By improving and strengthening relations with neighboring countries, the surrounding diplomacy has fully realized the purpose of diplomacy to create a good international environment for domestic economic construction, especially the surrounding environment, which has created favorable conditions for China's economic construction.Looking forward to the future, there is huge room for cooperation between China and ASEAN, and the prospects are very broad. By 2010, China's ASEAN Free Trade Area will be the world's most populous free trade zone and the largest free trade zone among developing countries. Its establishment will promote the economic development of China and Southeast Asian countries, further enhance bilateral economic and trade relations, and will also make important contributions to the economic development of the Asian region.

However, as the economic and trade ties between the two sides continue to be close, disputes and frictions will increase. Competition between China and Southeast Asian countries in many fields will continue to exist, and some will be even more intense. The similar level of economic development and economic structure also restrict bilateral cooperation to a certain extent. From the aspects of resource stock, economic structure, and development level, there will still be great similarities between the two sides in the coming period. For example, labor-intensive industries account for a large proportion, and they all face the urgent task of accelerating the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure. In the process, the demand for international capital is in a strong period. The external environment of investment is similar, so the competitive relationship in the introduction of foreign capital will continue.